Abdominal aortic calcification is a risk factor for atherosclerotic vascular disease in elderly women (#75)
Bone densitometers can quickly and easily capture lateral spine images, primarily for vertebral fracture assessment. Abdominal aortic calcification (AAC) is commonly seen on these images and has been promoted as a risk factor for atherosclerotic vascular disease (ASVD) however there is uncertainty about its value in elderly women routinely undergoing bone densitometry. We investigated whether AAC was associated with long-term ASVD hospitalisations and deaths in 1,052 community-dwelling ambulant elderly women over 70 years. AAC24 scores were calculated from digital single-energy lateral spine images from a scanning densitometer in 1998 or 1999. Of the 1052 women there were 471 (45%) that had low AAC (AAC24 score 0 or 1), 387 (37%) that had moderate AAC (AAC24 score 2-5) and 197 (19%) that had severe AAC (AAC24 score >5). Over 14.5 years, 420 women experienced an ASVD hospitalisation or death (265 ASVD-related deaths). Increasing severity of AAC was associated with increased absolute risk of ASVD hospitalisation or death (low=37%, moderate=39% and severe=49%, P=0.008 for trend) and ASVD deaths (low=15%, moderate=21% and severe=27%, P<0.001 for trend). After adjusting for Framingham general cardiovascular risk scores, women with severe AAC had increased hazard for ASVD hospitalizations or death, Hazard ratio (HR) 1.37, 95% CI 1.07-1.77, P=0.013, while women with moderate and severe AAC had increased hazard for ASVD-related deaths HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.03-1.94, P=0.034 and HR 1.80, 95% CI 1.26-2.57, P=0.001 respectively. In conclusion, abdominal aortic calcification calculated on images obtained from a bone densitometer are associated with a greater risk of long-term ASVD hospitalizations and deaths independent of conventional risk factors. Given the test can be conveniently captured during bone density the assessment AAC may be a promising tool to inform primary prevention strategies in elderly women.